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The Scientist: NewsBlog:
Will arthritis thwart cane toads?
Posted by Bob Grant [Entry posted at 2nd December 2008 08:07 PM GMT]
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Cause & Effect?? by anonymous poster [Comment posted 2008-12-07 10:54:00] If the bacteria associated with the longer toad is opportunistic, then it is likely to be selected against over time. Long toads may have an advantage in colonization, but if short toads are more successful reproductivly, they will eventually predominate. Evolution moves toward breeding success. However, if that particular species of bacteria was present in the new territories and has found a new host in which it causes the arthritis, then it might represent a control tool. The question is: Does the bacteria attack arthritic toads or cause arthritis in toads? Ancillary issue: if the bacteria is causing the arthritis, instead of taking advantage of it, it might represent a research direction for human arthritis. Interesting. by anonymous poster [Comment posted 2008-12-06 08:36:18] So it's basically a special case of founder effect, with larger toads with wanderlust spreading faster than smaller homebodies. The selective pressure for these traits result in inbreeding and subsequent higher percentage of recessive traits being expressed in marginal populations (as the fastest expanders out-expand their slower relatives).
It does make sense, and means the cane toad is adapting to its new environment and becoming _more_, not less, fit, even if some individuals are paying for their success in the form of deleterious recessive traits. not dead yet by Michael Zimmer [Comment posted 2008-12-04 19:12:34] I agree. this is not the end of cane toads.
It looks more like cane toads adapting to be more suitable for the harsh Australian environment, not less suitable. Long term survival really isn't a matter if they are still breeding. Though perhaps lowered immune processes might produce pathogens and parasites more suitable for cane-toad internal environments (which will might be as dooming for native frogs). Optimisation will win by null null [Comment posted 2008-12-04 10:31:41] Sorry, but no joy here. The bigger toads probably spread faster and hence are selected positively (for), and once they have colonised a new area with eggs it doesn't matter if they die of arthritis. They have already done the colonising and have a head start on the short toads. When the area is densely colonised selection will reverse the situation if shorter toads are fitter, say if they live longer and have greater reproductive success than the long toads. Selection operates for short term reproductive success, and can change direction. It will never reduce fitness. If the environment of a specialised species changes rappidly and drastically then that is another matter.
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